EUR/GBP Recovers to 0.8550 on Lagarde’s Hawkish Tone


The EUR/GBP pair extends its recovery to 0.8550, rebounding from near the 0.8500 psychological support level. The Euro strengthened against the Pound Sterling following dovish comments from ECB President Christine Lagarde, raising doubts about the previously anticipated June rate cut pivot.

Key Factors:

  • Lagarde’s Comments: Lagarde’s assertion that the inflation fight is ongoing signals a potentially less dovish ECB stance.
  • Conflicting ECB Signals: ECB Governing Council member Klaas Knot’s remarks favoring market expectations of rate cuts introduce some uncertainty.
  • BoE Rate Cut Outlook: Diminished expectations of multiple BoE rate cuts this year, spurred by slower-than-expected easing of UK inflation, weaken the Pound Sterling.
  • Focus on UK Retail Sales: Friday’s UK Retail Sales data for March will provide further directional cues for the Pound.

Technical Outlook:

  • Technical Recovery: The EUR/GBP rebound from 0.8500 suggests potential for further short-term gains.
  • Market Uncertainty: Conflicting signals from ECB policymakers create uncertainty about the exact timing of potential rate cuts.

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